Curriculum Vitae
Positions
- 2024–2025: Postdoctoral Researcher, Vrije Universiteit Brussel — ICE³ project: Modelling the global multi-century evolution of glacier ice in 3D. Supervised by Harry Zekollari.
- 2025–present: Postdoctoral Fellow (FWO), Vrije Universiteit Brussel — ICE-BUFFER project: Global glacier buffering of streamflow droughts in a changing climate using deep learning. FWO Postdoctoral Junior Fellowship. Supervised by Harry Zekollari.
Education
- 2019–2023: PhD in Environmental Sciences, Universidad de Concepción, Concepción, Chile. Thesis: Assessment of the impacts of climate change on the spatio-temporal patterns of freshwater sources to the coastal system of Western Patagonia. Supervised by Mauricio Aguayo and Jorge León.
- 2017–2019: MSc in Civil Engineering (Water Resources), Universidad de Concepción, Concepción, Chile. Thesis: Impacts of anthropogenic climate change on the runoff of a trans-Andean basin in Patagonia. Supervised by Jorge León.
- 2012–2018: Civil Engineering (Hydraulic-Environmental mention), Universidad de Concepción, Concepción, Chile. Thesis: Hydrological modeling of a Patagonian basin: Application of remote sensing. Supervised by José Vargas. Approved with maximum distinction.
Mobility
- 2026: Research Stay — Glacio-hydrological Modelling, Université Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France (2 months). Working with Jordi Bolibar at the Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement (IGE).
- 2022: Research Stay — Regional Glacier Modelling, University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria (7 months). Working with Fabien Maussion at the Department of Ice & Climate.
Grants & Funding
- 2025–2028: FWO Postdoctoral Junior Fellowship — ICE-BUFFER project
- 2023: ANID Doctoral Writing Extension Fellowship —
- 2019–2023: ANID National Doctoral Fellowship —
- 2022: ANID International Research Stay Fellowship —
- 2021–2022: ANID Operational Expenses Grant —
Awards
- 2025: Outstanding Reviewer Award, The Cryosphere (EGU)
- 2021: Top 100 in Earth Science — Scientific Reports collection
- 2017: Professor Edgar Pino Barrueto Prize — Best thesis of the Civil Engineering promotion
Supervision
- Francesco Calista (MSc, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 2025-2026) — Implications of glacier melt in High Mountain Asia for future water security. Co-supervised with Harry Zekollari and Magali Ponds
- Fernanda Espinoza (MSc, Universidad de Chile, 2025-2026) — Flood forecasting using deep learning in south-central Chile. Co-supervised with Pablo Mendoza
- Magali Ponds (PhD, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 2024-2027) — The effect of irrigation on glacier evolution in High-Mountain Asia. Co-supervised with Harry Zekollari
- Maziar Freki (MSc, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 2024-2025) — Closing the regional water budget in Western Patagonia using SWOT data. Co-supervised with Harry Zekollari
- Garance du Bus de Warnaffe (MSc, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 2024-2025) — The time of emergence of glacier runoff in Patagonia. Co-supervised with Harry Zekollari
- Isadora Leon (MSc, Universidad Austral de Chile, 2023-2024) — Effects of land cover on the hydrological propagation of droughts in Southern Chile. Co-supervised with Jorge Leon and Alvaro Gonzalez
- Paul Sandoval (Bachelor, Universidad del Bío-Bío, 2021) — Potential impacts of global warming in the upper Manso River Basin.
Teaching
KU Leuven / Vrije Universiteit Brussel
- Surface Water Hydrology (2025-2026) (2 semesters)
Universidad de Concepción
- GIS Applied to Environmental Science (2023)
- Fluid Mechanics (2022)
- Distributed Hydrology (2020)
- Advanced Hydrology (2019)
- Hydrology (2016-2018) (5 semesters)
- Introduction to Environmental Science (2015)
- Support Center for Learning Basic Sciences (2014-2015) (4 semesters)
Talks & Presentations
2026
- ⭐ Séminaire IGE (2026, FR) — What past droughts look like when glaciers shrink
- ⭐ Simposio Agua, ciencia y sostenibilidad desde los Andes (2026, Online) — Reimaginando cómo los glaciares Andinos amortiguaron las pasadas sequías hidrológicas
- EGU General Assembly (2026, Vienna, Austria) — Glacio-hydrological modelling in Patagonia
- EGU26 (2026, AT) — Reimagining how Andean glaciers buffered past streamflow droughts
- III Jornadas de Hidrologia (2026, CL) — What past droughts look like when glaciers shrink
- UCH seminars (2026, CL) — Reimagining how Andean glaciers buffered past streamflow droughts
2025
- ⭐ Glaciological seminars at ETH (2025, CH) — From ice to streams: Climate change impacts on glacier runoff dynamics in the Andes
- ⭐ Taller TROPIPOLAR-GLASCLIM (2025, Online) — Glacier buffering of past streamflow droughts in a changing climate: Insights from the Andes
- BE-POLAR conference (2025, BE) — Glacier buffering of past streamflow droughts in a changing climate: Insights from the Andes
- International Mountain Conference (IMC) (2025, AT) — Glacier buffering of past streamflow droughts in a changing climate: Insights from the Andes
- 9th OGGM workshop (2025, BE) — Revisiting glacier buffering of past streamflow droughts with OGGM: Pitfalls and Pathways Forward
- GlacierMIP workshop (2025) — Glacier buffering of past streamflow droughts in a changing climate (ICE-BUFFER)
- EGU25 (2025, AT) — Divergent spatial runoff trends in Western Patagonia projected by hybrid glacio-hydrological modelling
2024
- ⭐ Summerschool at the Tien Shan International Science Centre (2024, KG) — On the importance of modelling glaciers for runoff projections
- EGU24 (2024, AT) — Unravelling the sources of uncertainty in glacier runoff in the Patagonian Andes
- 8th OGGM workshop (2024, CH) — Divergent glacio-hydrological spatial patterns in Western Patagonia projected by hybrid deep Learning
2023
- V Congress of the Chilean Cryosphere Society (2023, CL) — Assessing the glacier projection uncertainties in the Patagonian Andes
2022
- ⭐ Seminar for the strategic planning of water resources in Aysén (2022, CL) — PatagoniaMet v1.0: Una base de datos hidro-meteorológica para la Patagonia Occidental
- 6th OGGM workshop (2022) — Modeling the freshwater inputs to the coastal system of Western Patagonia
- Student for Student Summerschool (2022, AT) — Climate datasets are the main source of uncertainty of glacier evolution
2021
- ⭐ Glaciology Seminars organized by the Center for Scientific Studies (2021, Online) — A multi-institutional effort for an open hydrometeorological dataset in Western Patagonia
- III Congress of the Chilean Cryosphere Society (2021, Online) — PatagoniaMet: A quality check observational dataset for Western Patagonia
- Scientific Meeting of The Argentine Association Of Geophysicists and Geodesists (2021, Online) — PatagoniaMet: Generation and evaluation of precipitation and air temperature gridded datasets
2019
- XXIV Chilean Congress of Hydraulic Engineering (2019, CL) — The glass half-empty: Climate Change Impacts on Freshwater Input to the North Patagonia Coastal System
2018
- XXVIII Latin American Hydraulics Congress (2018, ARG) — Hydrological modeling of the trans-Andean basin of the Puelo River: Application of Remote Sensors
Datasets
- PatagoniaMet (2023) — A multi-source hydrometeorological dataset for Western Patagonia (40–56°S). Includes precipitation, temperature, streamflow, and other variables from multiple observational sources.. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7992760
- RGI v7.1 Lake Termini Classification (2025) — Global mapping of lake-terminating glaciers — classification of Randolph Glacier Inventory v7.1 glacier termini as lake-terminating or not.. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.15524733
- Historical and Future Runoff in Western Patagonia (2025) — Simulated historical and future runoff projections for Western Patagonia using hybrid glacio-hydrological modelling.. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.15076803
- Glacier Runoff Projections in Patagonia (2024) — Ensemble of glacier runoff projections for the Patagonian Andes (40–56°S) under multiple climate scenarios.. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8384882
- Model-Based Runoff in Northern Patagonia (2024) — Hydrological model outputs for Northern Patagonia catchments under historical and future climate conditions.. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.10949518
Projects & Collaborations
Research projects
- Instrumentation and habilitation of a reference basin for studies related to changes in the snowpack in the Aysén region (2021) — Hydrological modeler and climate analyst (PI: Iñigo Irrazabal), CIEP
- Production of bioenergy for combustion from sustainable forest management (2021) — Geospatial specialist (PI: Gustavo Saiz), UCSC
- Hydrological signature influence on Chilean Aquaculture under climate change and landscape scenarios (2022-2023) — PhD student (PI: Jorge Leon), UCSC
- Risk analysis as a tool for the prioritization of secondary environmental quality standards in the main tributary rivers to the fjord system of Northwestern Patagonia (2022-2023) — Project coordinator (PI: Jorge Leon), UCSC
- Assessing the impacts of wildfires and generate proposals for fire-resilient landscape based on different environmental change scenarios (2024) — Geospatial specialist (PI: Gustavo Saiz), UCSC
Applied research
- Determination of average monthly flows in a hydrographic basin of continental Chiloé (2017) — Hydrological Modeler and Climate Analyst (Supervisor: Jose Vargas), Instituto de Fomento Pesquero (IFOP)
- Water Scenarios 2030 (2017) — Project Engineer (Supervisor: Jose Vargas), Fundación Chile
- Hydrological Modeling in the Upper Cachapoal River Basin (2019) — Hydrological Modeler (Supervisor: Aldo Montecinos), Centro del Agua para la Agricultura
- Book Rivers of South America (2020) — Data gathering (Supervisor: Jorge Nimptsch), Universidad Austral de Chile (UACH)
- Strategic Water Management Plans for the Puelo, Yelcho, Aysén, Baker and Pascua Basins (2021) — Project Engineer and Scientific Advisor (Supervisor: David Poblete), GEOSAFE
- Development of a predictive system for precipitation and streamflow in the central-southern basins (Chile) (2025) — Scientific Advisor (Supervisor: Pablo Mendoza), UCH
Peer Review
- The Cryosphere
- Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
- Journal of Hydrology
- Nature Communications
Outreach & Media
- 2019: Estudio mide impacto del cambio climático en el sur de Chile — EMOL
- 2021: Investigación analizó las consecuencias del cambio climático en los ríos de la Patagonia norte — Ladera Sur
- 2021: Documentary RIO: Rivers Influencing the Ocean — YouTube
- 2024: Ciencia local crea pionera base de datos de la Patagonia — Diario Concepción
- 2024: Académico UCSC participó en PatagoniaMet, primera base de datos hidrometeorológica de la Patagonia — UCSC
- 2024: Un adiós helado y esperado: Desaparición del último glaciar de Venezuela — Niboe
- 2024: La metamorfosis de la Patagonia chilena — El País
- 2024: The world’s glaciers are melting faster than we thought — National Geographic
- 2024: Glaciares reservas de agua que son indicador crítico del cambio climático — Diario Concepción
- 2025: Proyectan futuros hídricos opuestos al norte y sur de la vital Patagonia — Diario Concepción
- 2025: El calentamiento global podría provocar la pérdida de casi todos los glaciares de los Andes — El Mercurio
- 2026: UNESCO sites offer a lifeline to biodiversity, new report shows — The Guardian
Fieldwork
- Bordu and Kara-Batkak glaciers, Kyrgyzstan (2024) — Glacier monitoring using drones (PI: Lander Van Tricht)
- Puelo River basin, Chile (2018-2021) — Trimestral hydrological campaigns for fjord land use change study (PI: Jorge Leon)
- Aysén region, Chile (2017) — Stream surveys in old-growth temperate forests (PI: Anna Astorga and Brian Reid)
Publications
2026
Steiner, J., Armstrong, W., Kochtitzky, W., McNabb, R., Aguayo, R., … and Zheng, W. (2026). Global mapping of lake-terminating glaciers. Earth System Science Data.
Van Tricht, L., Zekollari, H., Huss, M., Rounce, D., Schuster, L., … and Farinotti, D. (2026). Peak glacier extinction in the mid-twenty-first century. Nature Climate Change.
Van Tricht, L., Zekollari, H., Huss, M., van Tiel, M., Vanderkelen, I., … and Farinotti, D. (2026). Reduced future summer water availability in the Tien Shan due to glacier wastage. Water Resources Research.
2025
Aguayo, R., Zekollari, H., Hanus, S., Baez-Villanueva, O., Mendoza, P. and Maussion, F. (2025). Hybrid glacio-hydrological modelling reveals contrasting runoff changes in Western Patagonia over the 21st century. Earth’s Future.
Caro, A., Condom, T., Rabatel, A., Aguayo, R. and Champollion, N. (2025). Glacio-hydrological changes along the Andes over the first half of the 21st Century. Scientific Reports.
Farías-Barahona, D., Schaefer, M., Braun, M., Temme, F., Fürst, J., … and Harrison, S. (2025). QFuego-Patagonia: a comprehensive dataset and review of Southern South America’s glaciers. Journal of Glaciology.
2024
Aguayo, R., León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, M., Baez-Villanueva, O., Fernandez, A., Zambrano-Bigiarini, M. and Jacques-Coper, M. (2024). PatagoniaMet: A multi-source hydrometeorological dataset for Western Patagonia (40-56ºS). Scientific Data.
Aguayo, R., Maussion, F., Ultee, L., Mackay, J., Caro, A., … and Aguayo, M. (2024). Unravelling the sources of uncertainty in glacier runoff projections in the Patagonian Andes (40–56° S). The Cryosphere.
León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, R., Corredor, A., Tapia, F., Iriarte, J. L., Ried, B. and Soto, D. (2024). Hydrographic shifts in coastal waters reflect climate-driven changes in hydrological regimes across Northwestern Patagonia. Scientific Reports.
Zekollari, H., Huss, M., Schuster, L., Maussion, F., Rounce, D. R., … and Farinotti, D. (2024). Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations. The Cryosphere.
2023
- León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, R., Echeverría, C., Nimptsch, J., Wolfl, S., Avendaño-Herrera, R., Simon, J. and Soto, D. (2023). Landscape dependency of salmon farming hatcheries under climate change. Climate Risk Management.
2021
Aguayo, R., León-Muñoz, J., Garreaud, R. and Montecinos, A. (2021). Hydrological droughts in the southern Andes (40-45ºS) from an ensemble experiment using CMIP5 and CMIP6 models. Scientific Reports.
León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, R., Marce, R., Catalan, N., Wolfl, S., … and Miranda, A. (2021). Climate and land cover trends affecting freshwater inputs to a fjord in Northwestern Patagonia. Frontiers in Marine Sciences.
2019
- Aguayo, R., León-Muñoz, J., Vargas, J., Montecinos, A., Garreaud, R., Urbina, M., Soto, D. and Iriarte, J. L. (2019). The glass half-empty: climate change drives lower freshwater input in the coastal system of the Chilean Northern Patagonia. Climatic Change.
In Review
Mendoza, P. A., Toum, E., Wongchuig, S., Condom, T., Barco, J., Drenkhan, F. and Aguayo, R. (2026). Recent advances and challenges in process-based hydrological modeling over the Andes: A review. WIREs Water (in review).
Van Tricht, L., Huss, M., Zekollari, H., Aguayo, R., van Tiel, M., von der Esch, A., Beer, J. and Farinotti, D. (2026). Resolving short-term meteorological variability amplifies projected glacier loss. Nature Communications (in review).
Ponds, M., Aguayo, R., Yao, Y., Thiery, W. and Zekollari, H. (2026). Irrigation buffers glacier loss. Nature Climate Change (in review).
León-Muñoz, J., Reid, B., Iriarte, J. L., Mardones, J., Aguayo, R., … and Garreaud, R. (2026). Melt-driven freshwater inputs as potential drivers of harmful algal blooms in northwestern Patagonia. Scientific Reports (in review).
Fox, C., León-Muñoz, J., Reid, B., Astorga, A., Aguayo, R., Moreno-Meynard, P., Blanchet, L. and Butman, D. (2025). Riverine Biogeochemical Exports from Major Watersheds to the Northwest Patagonian Estuarine Network. JGR – Biogeosciences (in review).
Moreno, P., Aguayo, R., Astorga, A., Somos, M., Uribe, L. and Reid, B. (2025). Early detection of anthropogenic impacts on headwater streams in Patagonia through hydrological signatures metrics. Hydrological Sciences Journal (in review).