Publications

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Highlighted name indicates first or corresponding authorship.

Steiner, J., Armstrong, W., Kochtitzky, W., McNabb, R., Aguayo, R., … and Zheng, W. (2026). Global mapping of lake-terminating glaciers. Earth System Science Data. glaciers remote sensing lake-terminating PDF
Van Tricht, L., Zekollari, H., Huss, M., Rounce, D., Schuster, L., … and Farinotti, D. (2026). Peak glacier extinction in the mid-twenty-first century. Nature Climate Change. glaciers climate change extinction
Van Tricht, L., Zekollari, H., Huss, M., van Tiel, M., Vanderkelen, I., … and Farinotti, D. (2026). Reduced future summer water availability in the Tien Shan due to glacier wastage. Water Resources Research. hydrology glaciers Tien Shan
Aguayo, R., Zekollari, H., Hanus, S., Baez-Villanueva, O., Mendoza, P. and Maussion, F. (2025). Hybrid glacio-hydrological modelling reveals contrasting runoff changes in Western Patagonia over the 21st century. Earth’s Future. glaciology hydrology Patagonia modelling
Caro, A., Condom, T., Rabatel, A., Aguayo, R. and Champollion, N. (2025). Glacio-hydrological changes along the Andes over the first half of the 21st Century. Scientific Reports. Andes glacio-hydrology climate change
Farías-Barahona, D., Schaefer, M., Braun, M., Temme, F., Fürst, J., … and Harrison, S. (2025). QFuego-Patagonia: a comprehensive dataset and review of Southern South America’s glaciers. Journal of Glaciology. glaciers dataset Patagonia
Aguayo, R., León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, M., Baez-Villanueva, O., Fernandez, A., Zambrano-Bigiarini, M. and Jacques-Coper, M. (2024). PatagoniaMet: A multi-source hydrometeorological dataset for Western Patagonia (40-56ºS). Scientific Data. dataset open data Patagonia Code
Aguayo, R., Maussion, F., Ultee, L., Mackay, J., Caro, A., … and Aguayo, M. (2024). Unravelling the sources of uncertainty in glacier runoff projections in the Patagonian Andes (40–56° S). The Cryosphere. glaciology uncertainty Patagonia
León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, R., Corredor, A., Tapia, F., Iriarte, J. L., Ried, B. and Soto, D. (2024). Hydrographic shifts in coastal waters reflect climate-driven changes in hydrological regimes across Northwestern Patagonia. Scientific Reports. Patagonia coastal hydrology
Zekollari, H., Huss, M., Schuster, L., Maussion, F., Rounce, D. R., … and Farinotti, D. (2024). Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations. The Cryosphere. global glaciers CMIP6 climate change
León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, R., Echeverría, C., Nimptsch, J., Wolfl, S., Avendaño-Herrera, R., Simon, J. and Soto, D. (2023). Landscape dependency of salmon farming hatcheries under climate change. Climate Risk Management. climate impacts aquaculture
Aguayo, R., León-Muñoz, J., Garreaud, R. and Montecinos, A. (2021). Hydrological droughts in the southern Andes (40-45ºS) from an ensemble experiment using CMIP5 and CMIP6 models. Scientific Reports. droughts Andes CMIP6
León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, R., Marce, R., Catalan, N., Wolfl, S., … and Miranda, A. (2021). Climate and land cover trends affecting freshwater inputs to a fjord in Northwestern Patagonia. Frontiers in Marine Sciences. freshwater Patagonia fjord
Aguayo, R., León-Muñoz, J., Vargas, J., Montecinos, A., Garreaud, R., Urbina, M., Soto, D. and Iriarte, J. L. (2019). The glass half-empty: climate change drives lower freshwater input in the coastal system of the Chilean Northern Patagonia. Climatic Change. climate change Patagonia freshwater

In Review

Mendoza, P. A., Toum, E., Wongchuig, S., Condom, T., Barco, J., Drenkhan, F. and Aguayo, R. (2026). Recent advances and challenges in process-based hydrological modeling over the Andes: A review. WIREs Water (in review). review Andes hydrology
Van Tricht, L., Huss, M., Zekollari, H., Aguayo, R., van Tiel, M., von der Esch, A., Beer, J. and Farinotti, D. (2026). Resolving short-term meteorological variability amplifies projected glacier loss. Nature Communications (in review). glaciers meteorology variability
Ponds, M., Aguayo, R., Yao, Y., Thiery, W. and Zekollari, H. (2026). Irrigation buffers glacier loss. Nature Climate Change (in review). irrigation glaciers
León-Muñoz, J., Reid, B., Iriarte, J. L., Mardones, J., Aguayo, R., … and Garreaud, R. (2026). Melt-driven freshwater inputs as potential drivers of harmful algal blooms in northwestern Patagonia. Scientific Reports (in review). Patagonia algal blooms freshwater
Fox, C., León-Muñoz, J., Reid, B., Astorga, A., Aguayo, R., Moreno-Meynard, P., Blanchet, L. and Butman, D. (2025). Riverine Biogeochemical Exports from Major Watersheds to the Northwest Patagonian Estuarine Network. JGR – Biogeosciences (in review). biogeochemistry Patagonia rivers
Moreno, P., Aguayo, R., Astorga, A., Somos, M., Uribe, L. and Reid, B. (2025). Early detection of anthropogenic impacts on headwater streams in Patagonia through hydrological signatures metrics. Hydrological Sciences Journal (in review). headwater streams Patagonia hydrological signatures