Publications

Google Scholar · ORCID · ResearchGate

2026
Riverine Biogeochemical Exports From Major Watersheds to the Northwest Patagonian Estuarine Network
Fox, S., León-Muñoz, J., Reid, B., Astorga-Roine, A., Aguayo, R., Moreno-Meynard, P., Blanchet, L. and Butman, D. E. (2026).
Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences
2026
Melt-driven freshwater inputs as potential drivers of harmful algal blooms: evidence from a diatom bloom in Northwestern Patagonia
León-Muñoz, J., Reid, B., Iriarte, J. L., Mardones, J., Aguayo, R., Astorga-Roine, A., García-Tuñon, W., Soto, D. and Garreaud, R. (2026).
Scientific Reports
2026
Global mapping of lake-terminating glaciers
Steiner, J., Armstrong, W., Kochtitzky, W., McNabb, R., Aguayo, R., … and Zheng, W. (2026).
Earth System Science Data
2026
Peak glacier extinction in the mid-twenty-first century
Van Tricht, L., Zekollari, H., Huss, M., Rounce, D., Schuster, L., Aguayo, R., Schmitt, P., Maussion, F., Tober, B. and Farinotti, D. (2026).
Nature Climate Change
2026
Reduced future summer water availability in the Tien Shan due to glacier wastage
Van Tricht, L., Zekollari, H., Huss, M., van Tiel, M., Vanderkelen, I., Aguayo, R., Compagno, L., Thiery, W., Huybrechts, P. and Farinotti, D. (2026).
Water Resources Research
2025
Hybrid glacio-hydrological modelling reveals contrasting runoff changes in Western Patagonia over the 21st century
Aguayo, R., Zekollari, H., Hanus, S., Baez-Villanueva, O., Mendoza, P. and Maussion, F. (2025).
Earth’s Future
2025
Glacio-hydrological changes along the Andes over the first half of the 21st Century
Caro, A., Condom, T., Rabatel, A., Aguayo, R. and Champollion, N. (2025).
Scientific Reports
2025
QFuego-Patagonia: a comprehensive dataset and review of Southern South America’s glaciers
Farías-Barahona, D., Schaefer, M., Braun, M., Temme, F., Fürst, J., … and Harrison, S. (2025).
Journal of Glaciology
2024
PatagoniaMet: A multi-source hydrometeorological dataset for Western Patagonia (40-56ºS)
Aguayo, R., León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, M., Baez-Villanueva, O., Fernandez, A., Zambrano-Bigiarini, M. and Jacques-Coper, M. (2024).
Scientific Data
2024
Unravelling the sources of uncertainty in glacier runoff projections in the Patagonian Andes (40–56° S)
Aguayo, R., Maussion, F., Ultee, L., Mackay, J., Caro, A., Schuster, L., Fernandez, A., Schaefer, M., León-Muñoz, J. and Aguayo, M. (2024).
The Cryosphere
2024
Hydrographic shifts in coastal waters reflect climate-driven changes in hydrological regimes across Northwestern Patagonia
León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, R., Corredor, A., Tapia, F., Iriarte, J. L., Ried, B. and Soto, D. (2024).
Scientific Reports
2024
Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations
Zekollari, H., Huss, M., Schuster, L., Maussion, F., Rounce, D. R., Aguayo, R., Champollion, N., Compagno, L., Hugonnet, R., Marzeion, B., Mojtabavi, S. and Farinotti, D. (2024).
The Cryosphere
2023
Landscape dependency of salmon farming hatcheries under climate change
León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, R., Echeverría, C., Nimptsch, J., Wolfl, S., Avendaño-Herrera, R., Simon, J. and Soto, D. (2023).
Climate Risk Management
2021
Hydrological droughts in the southern Andes (40-45ºS) from an ensemble experiment using CMIP5 and CMIP6 models
Aguayo, R., León-Muñoz, J., Garreaud, R. and Montecinos, A. (2021).
Scientific Reports
2021
Climate and land cover trends affecting freshwater inputs to a fjord in Northwestern Patagonia
León-Muñoz, J., Aguayo, R., Marce, R., Catalan, N., Wolfl, S., Nimptsch, J., Arismendi, I., Contreras, C., Soto, D. and Miranda, A. (2021).
Frontiers in Marine Sciences
2019
The glass half-empty: climate change drives lower freshwater input in the coastal system of the Chilean Northern Patagonia
Aguayo, R., León-Muñoz, J., Vargas, J., Montecinos, A., Garreaud, R., Urbina, M., Soto, D. and Iriarte, J. L. (2019).
Climatic Change

In Review

2026
Glacier loss amplifies streamflow droughts and water stress in the Andes
Aguayo, R., Zekollari, H., Bolibar, J., van Tiel, M., Ayala, A., Van Tricht, L. and Ultee, L. (2026).
Nature Water (in review)
2026
Recent advances and challenges in process-based hydrological modeling over the Andes: A review
Mendoza, P. A., Toum, E., Wongchuig, S., Condom, T., Barco, J., Drenkhan, F. and Aguayo, R. (2026).
WIREs Water (in review)
2026
Resolving short-term meteorological variability amplifies projected glacier loss
Van Tricht, L., Huss, M., Zekollari, H., Aguayo, R., van Tiel, M., von der Esch, A., Beer, J. and Farinotti, D. (2026).
Nature Communications (in review)
2026
Irrigation buffers glacier loss
Ponds, M., Aguayo, R., Yao, Y., Thiery, W. and Zekollari, H. (2026).
Nature Climate Change (in review)
2025
Early detection of anthropogenic impacts on headwater streams in Patagonia through hydrological signatures metrics
Moreno, P., Aguayo, R., Astorga, A., Somos, M., Uribe, L. and Reid, B. (2025).
Hydrological Sciences Journal (in review)